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Fed Should Resist Market Pressure to Do More: El Erian
Postet: 01.06.2020
In listening to market chatter urging the Federal Reserve to do more, I’m reminded of two simple insights I was exposed to years ago that have stayed with me. They don’t help predict what the Fed will end up doing, but they help shed light on the possible consequences.
Is Inflation Dead? Some Investors Bet It Could Roar Back: WSJ
Postet: 01.06.2020
Investors are pouring money into gold as a hedge against inflation on concerns that central banks’ and governments’ stimulus measures will lead to a surge in prices.
The Really Big Stock Bull Case Says Fed Stimulus Doesn’t Go Away
Postet: 01.06.2020
How willing will the Federal Reserve be just to switch off all the stimulus it rolled out to safeguard markets from the coronavirus? The most plausible answer is “not very,” logic that forms the most aggressive bull case on equities.As anyone who has watched the rocky path to reopening...
Is War Next?: Rickards
Postet: 01.06.2020
Investors should prepare for U.S.-China geopolitical tension to grow worse. Maybe a lot worse. That’s the lesson of history.
Graphing the Pandemic Economy
Postet: 01.06.2020
In a fast-evolving crisis like a pandemic, GDP and other conventional economic metrics are simply too slow to be useful for policymakers who need to make decisions about when to lock down and reopen parts of the economy. Fortunately, real-time mobility data has opened a window into the world that COVID-19 has wrought.
China Warns U.S. It Will Retaliate on Moves Over Hong Kong
Postet: 01.06.2020
China said on Monday U.S. attempts to harm Chinese interests will be met with firm countermeasures, criticising a U.S. decision to begin ending special treatment for Hong Kong as well as actions against Chinese students and companies.
China’s Economy Is Worse Than It Looks: WSJ
Postet: 01.06.2020
China’s apparent recovery from the coronavirus shutdowns is allowing the country to project strength abroad, but a closer look at its labor market raises some questions over that progress.
Powell Rejects Negative Rates: Taylor Rule Suggests Negative Target Rate Of -13.52%
Postet: 01.06.2020
Speaking of Powell’s proclamation that negative rates are not appropriate for the US, the Rudebusch (SF Fed) specification of the Taylor Rule says that the Fed Funds target rate should be -13.52%.
These Areas of the Economy ‘Will Not Come Back’ From the Coronavirus
Postet: 01.06.2020
The potential shape of that recovery - U-shaped, W-shaped, V-shaped or even ‘square root-shaped’ - has split economists and strategists. All 50 U.S. states, along with the majority of European countries, have now taken steps towards reopening following lockdown restrictions.
Rush for Us Dollars Leaves Hong Kong Money Changers Short of Supply
Postet: 01.06.2020
Demand for the currency surged after China’s legislature endorsed a resolution on a national security law for Hong Kong, money exchange shop owners say.