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Fed Should Resist Market Pressure to Do More: El Erian

Fed Should Resist Market Pressure to Do More: El Erian

Postet: 01.06.2020

In listening to market chatter urging the Federal Reserve to do more, I’m reminded of two simple insights I was exposed to years ago that have stayed with me. They don’t help predict what the Fed will end up doing, but they help shed light on the possible consequences.


Is Inflation Dead? Some Investors Bet It Could Roar Back: WSJ

Is Inflation Dead? Some Investors Bet It Could Roar Back: WSJ

Postet: 01.06.2020

Investors are pouring money into gold as a hedge against inflation on concerns that central banks’ and governments’ stimulus measures will lead to a surge in prices.


The Really Big Stock Bull Case Says Fed Stimulus Doesn’t Go Away

The Really Big Stock Bull Case Says Fed Stimulus Doesn’t Go Away

Postet: 01.06.2020

How willing will the Federal Reserve be just to switch off all the stimulus it rolled out to safeguard markets from the coronavirus? The most plausible answer is “not very,” logic that forms the most aggressive bull case on equities.As anyone who has watched the rocky path to reopening...


Is War Next?: Rickards

Is War Next?: Rickards

Postet: 01.06.2020

Investors should prepare for U.S.-China geopolitical tension to grow worse. Maybe a lot worse. That’s the lesson of history.


Graphing the Pandemic Economy

Graphing the Pandemic Economy

Postet: 01.06.2020

In a fast-evolving crisis like a pandemic, GDP and other conventional economic metrics are simply too slow to be useful for policymakers who need to make decisions about when to lock down and reopen parts of the economy. Fortunately, real-time mobility data has opened a window into the world that COVID-19 has wrought.


China Warns U.S. It Will Retaliate on Moves Over Hong Kong

China Warns U.S. It Will Retaliate on Moves Over Hong Kong

Postet: 01.06.2020

China said on Monday U.S. attempts to harm Chinese interests will be met with firm countermeasures, criticising a U.S. decision to begin ending special treatment for Hong Kong as well as actions against Chinese students and companies.


China’s Economy Is Worse Than It Looks: WSJ

China’s Economy Is Worse Than It Looks: WSJ

Postet: 01.06.2020

China’s apparent recovery from the coronavirus shutdowns is allowing the country to project strength abroad, but a closer look at its labor market raises some questions over that progress.


Powell Rejects Negative Rates: Taylor Rule Suggests Negative Target Rate Of -13.52%

Powell Rejects Negative Rates: Taylor Rule Suggests Negative Target Rate Of -13.52%

Postet: 01.06.2020

Speaking of Powell’s proclamation that negative rates are not appropriate for the US, the Rudebusch (SF Fed) specification of the Taylor Rule says that the Fed Funds target rate should be -13.52%.


These Areas of the Economy ‘Will Not Come Back’ From the Coronavirus

These Areas of the Economy ‘Will Not Come Back’ From the Coronavirus

Postet: 01.06.2020

The potential shape of that recovery - U-shaped, W-shaped, V-shaped or even ‘square root-shaped’ - has split economists and strategists. All 50 U.S. states, along with the majority of European countries, have now taken steps towards reopening following lockdown restrictions.


Rush for Us Dollars Leaves Hong Kong Money Changers Short of Supply

Rush for Us Dollars Leaves Hong Kong Money Changers Short of Supply

Postet: 01.06.2020

Demand for the currency surged after China’s legislature endorsed a resolution on a national security law for Hong Kong, money exchange shop owners say.


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