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Convergence of Gold and Dollar: Precursor to Stock Market Downturn?
Postet: 26.04.2024
The close movement between gold and the dollar, typically seen as defensive assets, is currently signaling a potential deep correction in the S&P 500. Historically, when these two assets converge in behavior, it often precedes significant downturns in the stock market, suggesting that investors should brace for possible declines.
Moderate U.S. Inflation Rise Suggests Fed Could Keep Rates Steady Until Fall
Postet: 26.04.2024
U.S. inflation edged up in March, meeting expectations and reinforcing the view that the Federal Reserve will likely hold off on interest rate cuts until September. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 0.3% last month, the same as in February, according to the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis. This steady increase, in line with market forecasts, suggests that the central bank will maintain its current rate policy for the time being.
The Truth About Gold Jewelry
Postet: 26.04.2024
Not all gold is created equal. Here's what you need to know about gold and silver jewelry.
Traders Increase Bets on September Fed Rate Cut Following Inflation Report
Postet: 26.04.2024
Traders are increasingly betting on the U.S. Federal Reserve initiating its first interest rate cut of the year in September, following a recent government inflation report. This report, which indicated that the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 0.3% from February to March, has influenced interest rate futures prices. These now suggest a 65% probability of a rate cut during the Fed's mid-September meeting, a noticeable increase from the previous likelihood of less than 60%.
Core Fed Inflation Metric Surpasses Expectations, Rising 2.8% in March
Postet: 26.04.2024
Inflation persisted in March, as revealed by the Federal Reserve's closely monitored personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index. Excluding food and energy, the core PCE index rose by 2.8% year-over-year, surpassing the anticipated 2.7%, according to the Commerce Department. Including these volatile categories, the overall PCE index also exceeded expectations, climbing 2.7% compared to a forecasted 2.6%. Despite these figures indicating sustained inflationary pressure, market response was muted, with Treasury yields dipping slightly and Wall Street poised for a positive open.
Gold Set for Weekly Dip as U.S. Inflation Fears Weigh on Market Sentiment
Postet: 26.04.2024
Gold is on track for a weekly loss as U.S. inflation worries dampen demand, despite a modest increase ahead of critical inflation data due this Friday. The anticipated personal consumption expenditures index is expected to confirm that March continued to see high price pressures. Heightened inflation has raised doubts about the Federal Reserve's ability to lower borrowing costs, which has boosted Treasury yields—a negative for gold, which yields no interest. Compounding concerns, a recent report showing U.S. GDP growth falling short of expectations has reignited fears of stagflation, characterized by slow growth and high inflation.
Economic Slowdown and Rising Inflation Cast Doubt on Soft-Landing Prospects
Postet: 25.04.2024
The U.S. economy experienced its slowest growth in nearly two years last quarter, accompanied by a notable increase in inflation, which dampened hopes for a soft landing. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an annualized rate of 1.6%, falling below all economists' forecasts. The primary driver of economic growth, personal spending, increased at a modest 2.5% rate, which was less than expected. Additionally, a widening trade deficit contributed to the slowdown, marking the largest subtraction from growth since 2022. Inflation also showed signs of acceleration, with a key indicator rising at a 3.7% annualized rate. This was the first quarterly increase in a year, indicating that price pressures are resurfacing.
Real Estate: Shocking Data
Postet: 25.04.2024
Discover the latest trends in residential and commercial real estate that could reshape the entire banking sector!
Chinese Retail Investors Drive Gold Boom on Shanghai Futures Exchange
Postet: 25.04.2024
Gold's remarkable rise this year had analysts scratching their heads until a new force was identified: Chinese retail investors swarming the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE). Despite headwinds like increasing Treasury yields and a robust dollar, trading volumes on the SHFE tripled, propelling gold prices upward. China's long-standing connection to gold, coupled with recent market uncertainty, has contributed to this surge, indicating a major shift in gold trading patterns. However, as gold prices fluctuate, questions persist about the SHFE's broader impact on the global gold market.
Decline in Gold Prices Leads to Weakening of Zimbabwe's ZiG Currency
Postet: 25.04.2024
Zimbabwe's new gold-backed currency, the ZiG, experienced its first decline since its introduction this April, slipping nearly 1% to trade at 13.38 against the dollar on Thursday. This weakening aligns with recent drops in gold prices, which have seen a downturn over the past three days. The ZiG, an acronym for Zimbabwe Gold, is supported by a mix of precious metals, including approximately 2.5 tons of gold, and $100 million in foreign currency reserves maintained by the central bank. The currency debuted at 13.56 per dollar, replacing the significantly devalued Zimbabwean dollar, which had plummeted about 80% against the US dollar since the beginning of the year. During a business conference in Bulawayo, Zimbabwe’s Vice President Constantino Chiwenga emphasized the ZiG's role in transitioning away from the US dollar, which is used in roughly 80% of transactions. The government plans to phase out the US dollar as legal tender by 2030.